In a short time baseball will be having a combined summit between Sportvision and SABR.
Right now there is a divided number for WAR in the game.
Maybe this summit will yield a truce between Fangraphs and Baseball-Reference.
Baseball needs to go by only one WAR number.
It seems to me the the difference between the two WAR’s is how they measure defense.
Maybe we should throw away UZR and DRS and use something like R/R.
Every defensive play could be measured just using time and distance (reaction time and range distance).
Start from when the bat and ball make contact, and end when it goes in a glove or hits the ground.
Measure the shortest distance from where the fielder is in his ready position, and that is how we measure every play.
Either the play is made or it isn’t, but we have a number for every play.
Some fielders might range 60 feet in 3.0 seconds, but some will miss the same play. Just give it a number. 3/60=.050. How many times will a fielder catch a fly ball when his R/R is .050 or lower?
You can’t measure a three second fly ball versus a five second fly ball, but you could measure equal times and distances.
If baseball just released FIELDf/x numbers for all to see, we will quickly see how time and distance are the keys to every play.
When a fielder catches a fly ball and attempts to throw out a runner tagging up, we will see which fielder gets the ball to the base quicker, by just using time and distance.
Only this time it is just simply be velocity, because we divide distance by time.
How fast can a player throw a ball 300 feet, or 250 ft? If they can make a throw of 225 feet in 3.0 seconds, their number is 51 mph. If they throw 300 feet in 3.0 seconds your number is 61.18 mph.
Defense needs FIELDf/x numbers available for all, and then UZR and DRS will not be used.
Baseball will soon have a new WAR. All it takes is for baseball to release those time and distance numbers.