Jake Westbrook: Lucky or Good?

The majority of baseball fans would be surprised to see the NL ERA leaders and read the number one ranking, Jake Westbrook, 1.07 ERA.

The St. Louis Cardinals right-hander has posted an impressive pitching line through the first month of the season,…. or has he?

33.67IP / 30H / 4 ER / 0HR / 17BB / 18K

Factor12 Rating: 26.719 (#56)

Jake WestbrookAt second glance, Westbrook has been very lucky.  A 1:1 SO/BB rate usually spells trouble for pitchers. Though, utilizing a heavy sinker, he has kept the ball in the yard, allowing zero home runs.

In his first two starts of the season, Westbrook did not allow an earned run in 15.67 IP. However, he allowed 12 base runners (6BB/ 1K) in 6.67 IP in his first start against the San Francisco Giants.

His April 16 start against the Pittsburgh Pirates was rained out after two innings. The right-hander was roughed up, allowing 5 hits and 4 runs (3 ER).  However, the game was unofficial and his 0.00 ERA was reset.

Here are some underlying pitching components:

FIP: 3.62 / ERA: 1.07 / WHIP: 1.40 / SO-BB: 1 / GBFB: 1.56 / HR9: 0.00

Westbrook has been extremely fortunate based on the number of base runners allowed and poor strikeout minus walk totals. Look for the right-hander to regress toward his career 4.23 ERA / 1.39 WHIP and start serving some dingers in his upcoming starts.

About Josh Robbins 128 Articles
Josh is a freelance videographer/journalist and baseball historian in Gilbert, Arizona. In 2010, he earned a Master’s Degree in Sport Management from CSU-Long Beach. From June 16 to July 11, 2008, he watched a game in all 30 MLB stadiums in a world record 26 days by car. You can email Josh at robbinsjosh AT hotmail DOT com or visit his website at Thirty26.com.

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