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Recent Posts

  • Factor12 Top50 thru 5/24
  • Factor12 Top50 thru 5/23
  • Player Profile: Jonathan Niese
  • Player Profile: Cliff Lee
  • Player Profile: Mike Leake
  • The Next Japanese Phenom: Shohei Otani
  • Factor12 Top50 thru 5/22
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  • Factor12 Top50 thru 5/20

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Anibal Sanchez

Factor12 Top50 thru 5/24

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 25, 2013 at 10:18 am
Posted In: Factor12, Josh Robbins, Sabermetrics, Sven Jenkins
RANK   PITCHERS AGE IP F12
1 Adam Wainwright 31 72.00 32.523
2 Clayton Kershaw* 25 73.33 32.252
3 Matt Harvey 24 70.00 31.947
4 Anibal Sanchez 29 64.33 31.287
5 Felix Hernandez 27 69.67 31.128
6 Jordan Zimmermann 27 73.67 31.028
7 Clay Buchholz 28 72.67 30.849
8 A.J. Burnett 36 70.00 30.770
9 Shelby Miller 22 57.00 30.427
10 Max Scherzer 28 62.33 30.245
11 Yu Darvish 26 66.67 30.139
12 James Shields 31 73.00 30.015
13 Patrick Corbin* 23 62.33 29.862
14 Cliff Lee* 34 72.67 29.645
15 Hisashi Iwakuma 32 64.67 29.487
16 Chris Sale* 24 64.00 29.392
17 Justin Masterson 28 76.00 29.383
18 Mark Melancon 28 25.00 29.343
19 Madison Bumgarner* 23 65.33 28.905
20 Lance Lynn 26 61.00 28.724
21 Justin Wilson* 25 28.00 28.540
22 Jeff Samardzija 28 63.67 28.412
23 Doug Fister 29 54.67 28.391
24 Stephen Strasburg 24 64.33 28.305
25 Homer Bailey 27 58.33 28.209
26 Justin Verlander 30 59.00 28.195
27 Mike Minor* 25 58.33 28.049
28 Derek Holland* 26 60.00 28.026
29 Jon Lester* 29 65.67 27.955
30 Travis Wood* 26 60.33 27.627
31 Ervin Santana 30 63.00 27.613
32 Jake Peavy 32 51.67 27.547
33 Mat Latos 25 65.33 27.458
34 Alex Cobb 25 59.33 27.383
35 Hiroki Kuroda 38 60.67 27.302
36 Tommy Milone* 26 64.00 27.134
37 Hyun-jin Ryu* 26 62.67 27.123
38 Ricky Nolasco 30 61.33 26.947
39 Paul Maholm* 31 61.33 26.916
40 Drew Smyly* 24 29.00 26.899
41 John Lackey 34 39.67 26.743
42 Bronson Arroyo 36 66.33 26.702
43 CC Sabathia* 32 65.67 26.658
44 Jerome Williams 31 46.33 26.636
45 Gio Gonzalez* 27 59.00 26.594
46 Matt Moore* 24 55.00 26.593
47 Trevor Cahill 25 64.00 26.487
48 Jose Fernandez 20 49.00 26.346
49 Bartolo Colon 40 54.33 26.301
50 Kyle Kendrick 28 65.67 26.298
└ Tags: Adam Wainwright, Anibal Sanchez, Clayton Kershaw, Factor12 Rating, Felix Hernandez, Matt Harvey
 Comment 
A.J. Burnett

Factor12 Top50 thru 5/23

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 24, 2013 at 10:30 am
Posted In: Factor12, Josh Robbins, Sabermetrics, Sven Jenkins
RANK   PITCHERS AGE IP F12
1 Adam Wainwright 31 72.00 32.590
2 Clayton Kershaw* 25 73.33 32.315
3 Matt Harvey 24 70.00 32.009
4 Felix Hernandez 27 69.67 31.192
5 Clay Buchholz 28 72.67 30.907
6 Jordan Zimmermann 27 66.67 30.733
7 Shelby Miller 22 57.00 30.477
8 Max Scherzer 28 62.33 30.306
9 Yu Darvish 26 66.67 30.205
10 A.J. Burnett 36 63.00 30.114
11 James Shields 31 73.00 30.076
12 Patrick Corbin* 23 62.33 29.908
13 Anibal Sanchez 29 55.33 29.841
14 Mark Melancon 28 25.00 29.769
15 Cliff Lee* 34 72.67 29.700
16 Hisashi Iwakuma 32 64.67 29.542
17 Chris Sale* 24 64.00 29.445
18 Justin Masterson 28 70.00 29.423
19 Madison Bumgarner* 23 65.33 28.959
20 Justin Wilson* 25 28.00 28.577
21 Jeff Samardzija 28 63.67 28.466
22 Doug Fister 29 54.67 28.434
23 Stephen Strasburg 24 64.33 28.355
24 Homer Bailey 27 58.33 28.257
25 Justin Verlander 30 59.00 28.246
26 Mike Minor* 25 58.33 28.095
27 Derek Holland* 26 60.00 28.074
28 Jon Lester* 29 65.67 28.002
29 Travis Wood* 26 60.33 27.664
30 Ervin Santana 30 63.00 27.663
31 Jake Peavy 32 51.67 27.593
32 Lance Lynn 26 55.00 27.534
33 Mat Latos 25 65.33 27.508
34 Alex Cobb 25 59.33 27.430
35 Hiroki Kuroda 38 60.67 27.342
36 Hyun-jin Ryu* 26 62.67 27.171
37 Ricky Nolasco 30 61.33 26.994
38 Paul Maholm* 31 61.33 26.958
39 Drew Smyly* 24 29.00 26.944
40 Kyle Kendrick 28 60.67 26.868
41 Bronson Arroyo 36 60.33 26.836
42 Tommy Milone* 26 57.00 26.831
43 Ryan Webb 27 26.00 26.828
44 CC Sabathia* 32 65.67 26.709
45 Jerome Williams 31 46.33 26.701
46 Gio Gonzalez* 27 59.00 26.637
47 Jason Grilli 36 21.67 26.636
48 Matt Moore* 24 55.00 26.632
49 Trevor Cahill 25 64.00 26.526
50 Jose Fernandez 20 49.00 26.382
└ Tags: A.J. Burnett, Adam Wainwright, Clay Buchholz, Clayton Kershaw, Factor12 Rating, Felix Hernandez, Matt Harvey
 Comment 

Player Profile: Jonathan Niese

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 23, 2013 at 11:09 pm
Posted In: New York Mets, Profile, Scouting Report, Sven Jenkins

Jon Niese

Jon Niese has become an above-average major league pitcher and was considered the ace of the Mets until Matt Harvey exploded onto the scene. The lefty started Opening Day at Citi Field in 2013, earning a W against the Padres.

Niese’s signature pitch is his huge curveball. It’s a big breaker that drops from 11 to 5 and buckles LHs knees. Jon sets up his curve with a quality fastball/cutter combination. He throws both pitches to either side of the plate, to any hitter, with good control of the corners. He routinely comes inside to RHs in an attempt to induce weak contact off the bat handle. His fourth pitch is his changeup, a pitch that has he’s using more often in 2013. In the past, Niese would file away his changeup at different points in the season and go multiple appearances without showing it.

Niese grew up in Defiance, Ohio, and was born on the same night the Mets won Game Seven of the 1986 World Series. The Mets drafted Niese in the 7th round of the 2005 draft, and he quickly climbed through the minor league system, succeeding at every level.

[fastball(87-94), cutter(84-91), curve(71-77), changeup(81-85)]

└ Tags: 1986 World Series, changeup, Citi Field, curve, cutter, Defiance, fastball, Game Seven, Jon Niese, Matt Harvey, Ohio, Opening Day
 Comment 

Player Profile: Cliff Lee

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 23, 2013 at 10:35 pm
Posted In: Montreal Expos, Philadelphia Phillies, Profile, Scouting Report, Sven Jenkins

Cliff LeeClifton was drafted three seperate times before he finally decided to sign with the Montreal Expos in 2000. As an amateur, Lee pitched for Meridian Community College in Mississippi and the University of Arkansas. In 2002, he was part of the famous trade involving himself, Brandon Phillips, and Grady Sizemore for Bartolo Colon. Lee has been part of three more trades since then, despite putting up some excellent numbers since 2008.

Cliff Lee has made himself into the best control pitcher since Greg Maddux. He works extremely fast and isn’t afraid to pitch inside. When he has his excellent control going, he can be a real force on the mound, painting corners with all his pitches and freezing hitters.

His fastball is fairly straight, but he is smart with it. He’ll then use his cutter in the mid-80s as his best secondary pitch. Lee will bust bats with it, backdoor RHs, or frontdoor LHs. Cliff flips a good curveball, preferring to use it against LHs, dropping it down and away. He also throws a straight changeup that can sail on him.

[fastball(87-93), cutter(84-89), curve(73-78), changeup(82-85)]

(video by Josh Robbins)

(video by MLB.com)

└ Tags: Bartolo Colon, Brandon Phillips, changeup, Cliff Lee, curve, cutter, fastball, Grady Sizemore, Greg Maddux, Meridian Community College, Mississippi, University of Arkansas
 Comment 

Player Profile: Mike Leake

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 23, 2013 at 10:29 pm
Posted In: Cincinnati Reds, Profile, Scouting Report, Sven Jenkins

Mike Leake

Mike Leake became the first starting pitcher to skip the minor leagues since Jim Abbott. Or was he? Leake played in the 2009 Arizona Fall League, so technically that was his first taste of professional baseball. As an amateur, Mikey dominated college baseball during his three years at Arizona State, compiling a 40-5 record on the mound.

Leake is a little guy with an assortment of pitches. He’ll mix his five pitches in an attempt to dizzy hitters into confusion. To try and get a quick out, Leake will throw a 2-seamer around 90 mph and a cutter at similar velocity. If he finds himself ahead in the count, Mike likes to break his slider on the glove side of home plate to get a swing and miss. Leake also has a changeup and curveball. The curve will blend with the slider velocity at times. Leake has had good command and control his entire pitching life, and could have himself a long career as an athletic junkballer.

[2-seam fastball(87-93), cutter(87-91), slider(80-84), curve(78-81), changeup(81-85)]

└ Tags: Arizona Fall League, Arizona State University, Jim Abbott, Mike Leake
 Comment 
Shohei Otani

The Next Japanese Phenom: Shohei Otani

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 23, 2013 at 10:45 am
Posted In: Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox, Draft, Los Angeles Dodgers, Minor Leagues, New York Yankees, Nippon Pro Baseball, Sven Jenkins, Texas Rangers

Shohei Otani, a 18-year-old with an upper-90s fastball, made his Nippon Pro Baseball debut this morning for the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters. And yeah, I was up at 5AM to watch it.

Shohei OtaniOtani has already made plenty of news in Japan. After his impressive high school career Shohei announced that he would skip the Nippon League altogether, therefore bypassing the posting system and sign with a Major League organization. The Red Sox, Rangers, Yankees, Dodgers, and Orioles were all said to be interested.

Otani told the NPB clubs not to bother drafting him because he wouldn’t sign. The Fighters selected him in the first round anyway, after which Otani said, “I’m grateful that they appreciate me, but it doesn’t change my desire to play in America”.

Then, due to cultural and family pressures, and the possibility of some shady back-room dealings, Otani agreed to a deal with Hokkaido Nippon-Ham.

Here’s a little write-up of what I saw this morning….

The 6’4″, 190 lb right-hander threw 5 innings today, allowed six hits, two runs, three walks and struck out two. Wearing Yu Darvish‘s #11, Otani showed some outstanding velocity but is clearly in need of some refinements. He stuggled with his control at times and lacked an effective put-away pitch.

Otani is athletic and has a fluid delivery that produced a 90-98 mph fastball. He used a slurvy slider (76-83 mph) as his second pitch, breaking it away from right-handed hitters and trying to backdoor it to lefties. Shohei flipped a couple of 63 mph curveballs as well. The uber-prospect did not throw any splitters, a pitch that almost every Japanese pitcher features. In fact, Otani didn’t show any type of offspeed pitch at all.

[ fastball(90-98), slider(76-83), curve(63) ]

After a few years working on his craft in the NPB, MLB teams may come calling again.

└ Tags: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, Japan, MLB, Nippon Professional Baseball, Shohei Otani, Yu Darvish
 Comment 
Adam Wainwright

Factor12 Top50 thru 5/22

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 23, 2013 at 9:44 am
Posted In: Factor12, Josh Robbins, Sabermetrics, Sven Jenkins
RANK   PITCHERS AGE IP F12
1 Adam Wainwright 31 72.00 32.597
2 Clayton Kershaw* 25 73.33 32.320
3 Matt Harvey 24 70.00 32.013
4 Felix Hernandez 27 69.67 31.197
5 Clay Buchholz 28 72.67 30.911
6 Jordan Zimmermann 27 66.67 30.734
7 Shelby Miller 22 57.00 30.479
8 Max Scherzer 28 62.33 30.309
9 Yu Darvish 26 66.67 30.209
10 A.J. Burnett 36 63.00 30.117
11 James Shields 31 73.00 30.079
12 Patrick Corbin* 23 62.33 29.909
13 Mark Melancon 28 25.00 29.862
14 Anibal Sanchez 29 55.33 29.844
15 Cliff Lee* 34 72.67 29.701
16 Hisashi Iwakuma 32 64.67 29.543
17 Chris Sale* 24 64.00 29.446
18 Justin Masterson 28 70.00 29.425
19 Madison Bumgarner* 23 65.33 28.960
20 Jeff Samardzija 28 63.67 28.467
21 Doug Fister 29 54.67 28.433
22 Stephen Strasburg 24 64.33 28.355
23 Justin Wilson* 25 26.67 28.355
24 Homer Bailey 27 58.33 28.256
25 Justin Verlander 30 59.00 28.248
26 Mike Minor* 25 58.33 28.093
27 Derek Holland* 26 60.00 28.073
28 Jon Lester* 29 65.67 28.001
29 Ervin Santana 30 55.33 27.664
30 Travis Wood* 26 60.33 27.660
31 Jake Peavy 32 51.67 27.591
32 Lance Lynn 26 55.00 27.532
33 Mat Latos 25 65.33 27.507
34 Alex Cobb 25 59.33 27.429
35 Hiroki Kuroda 38 60.67 27.339
36 Hyun-jin Ryu* 26 62.67 27.169
37 Ricky Nolasco 30 61.33 26.992
38 Paul Maholm* 31 61.33 26.955
39 Drew Smyly* 24 29.00 26.947
40 Kyle Kendrick 28 60.67 26.865
41 Bronson Arroyo 36 60.33 26.832
42 Tommy Milone* 26 57.00 26.829
43 Ryan Webb 27 26.00 26.827
44 CC Sabathia* 32 65.67 26.708
45 Jerome Williams 31 46.33 26.695
46 Gio Gonzalez* 27 59.00 26.634
47 Matt Moore* 24 55.00 26.628
48 Trevor Cahill 25 64.00 26.523
49 Jose Fernandez 20 49.00 26.378
50 Bartolo Colon 40 54.33 26.334
└ Tags: Adam Wainwright, Clay Buchholz, Clayton Kershaw, Factor12 Rating, Felix Hernandez, Matt Harvey
 Comment 
Max Scherzer

Factor12 Top50 thru 5/21

by C. Sven Jenkins on May 22, 2013 at 11:12 am
Posted In: Factor12, Josh Robbins, Sabermetrics, Sven Jenkins
RANK   PITCHERS AGE IP F12
1 Matt Harvey 24 63.67 32.835
2 Adam Wainwright 31 72.00 32.697
3 Clayton Kershaw* 25 73.33 32.416
4 Felix Hernandez 27 69.67 31.295
5 Jordan Zimmermann 27 66.67 30.813
6 Clay Buchholz 28 65.67 30.667
7 Shelby Miller 22 57.00 30.560
8 Max Scherzer 28 62.33 30.405
9 Yu Darvish 26 66.67 30.313
10 A.J. Burnett 36 63.00 30.209
11 Patrick Corbin* 23 62.33 29.983
12 Anibal Sanchez 29 55.33 29.929
13 Hisashi Iwakuma 32 64.67 29.632
14 James Shields 31 66.00 29.595
15 Chris Sale* 24 64.00 29.531
16 Justin Masterson 28 70.00 29.513
17 Drew Smyly* 24 28.00 29.098
18 Mark Melancon 28 24.00 29.009
19 Cliff Lee* 34 63.67 28.809
20 Hiroki Kuroda 38 58.67 28.753
21 Madison Bumgarner* 23 58.33 28.663
22 Doug Fister 29 54.67 28.502
23 Stephen Strasburg 24 64.33 28.437
24 Justin Wilson* 25 26.67 28.406
25 Justin Verlander 30 54.00 28.390
26 Homer Bailey 27 58.33 28.334
27 Mike Minor* 25 58.33 28.170
28 Derek Holland* 26 60.00 28.152
29 Jon Lester* 29 65.67 28.079
30 Ervin Santana 30 55.33 27.736
31 Travis Wood* 26 60.33 27.725
32 Jake Peavy 32 51.67 27.669
33 Lance Lynn 26 55.00 27.603
34 Alex Cobb 25 59.33 27.507
35 Jeff Samardzija 28 56.67 27.354
36 Mat Latos 25 58.67 27.257
37 Ricky Nolasco 30 61.33 27.069
38 Kyle Kendrick 28 60.67 26.935
39 Tommy Milone* 26 57.00 26.904
40 Bronson Arroyo 36 60.33 26.902
41 Hyun-jin Ryu* 26 55.33 26.893
42 Ryan Webb 27 26.00 26.870
43 CC Sabathia* 32 65.67 26.791
44 Trevor Cahill 25 58.00 26.750
45 Jerome Williams 31 46.33 26.749
46 Matt Moore* 24 55.00 26.695
47 Jose Fernandez 20 49.00 26.442
48 Bartolo Colon 40 54.33 26.398
49 Scott Feldman 30 49.33 26.190
50 Paul Maholm* 31 54.00 26.157
└ Tags: Adam Wainwright, Clayton Kershaw, Factor12 Rating, Felix Hernandez, Jordan Zimmermann, Matt Harvey, Max Scherzer
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